The Superbonus, an incentive tool for the energy efficiency of buildings, has seen a constant decline in accumulated deductions. The ENEA monthly report, published in September 2024, highlights a growth that has now slowed down.
Let’s analyze the numbers, highlighting the reasons behind this decline and how the works are continuing, particularly in condominiums.
What caused this decline and what will be the future prospects for the Superbonus?
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Growth of deductions: a progressive slowdown
In September 2024, the cost of Superbonus deductions reached 123 billion euros, but with a minimal increase compared to previous months. The increase compared to August was only 20.6 million euros, a figure significantly lower than the 57 million recorded between August and July and the 141 million in July compared to June.
This slowdown is a trend that began a few months ago, in stark contrast to the first periods of application of the Superbonus, when monthly increases of up to 3 billion euros were recorded.
If we consider the initial figures, the current trend represents a significant deviation compared to the period of maximum application of the Superbonus. The decline was accentuated with the reduction of tax rates and the end of the race for some types of buildings.
What impact will this trend have on future energy efficiency policies?
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The decline in deductions: causes and consequences
The decrease in Superbonus deductions is not an isolated case, but the result of various factors. Firstly, the lowering of the rates has reduced the attractiveness of the incentive, making investment in energy efficiency projects less advantageous.
Furthermore, a crucial element is represented by the end of the Superbonus for single-family buildings and functionally independent real estate units, which until a few months ago contributed significantly to the total volume of deductions.
The concentration of interventions has therefore shifted to condominiums, where work continues, albeit at a reduced pace. What does this shift tell us about the overall state of the construction industry? And what will be the future of incentives for private buildings?
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The state of the work: focus on condominiums
The data shows that, as of the end of September 2024, the 96.7% of the overall work related to the Superbonus has been completed. The slight increase of 0.6% compared to August was driven exclusively by interventions in condominiums, given that single-family buildings and functionally independent real estate units saw a halt in work.
This shift towards condominiums indicates a change in the dynamics of the Superbonus, which is becoming a tool mainly intended for large residential complexes.
The statistics suggest that the Superbonus, although decreasing, continues to offer benefits for certain categories of buildings. However, it remains to be seen whether there will be further legislative interventions that could revive or transform the incentive in the coming months. What regulatory changes could relaunch the Superbonus in the future?